Ivan’s original private notes on climate crisis

A very short summary of data on the climate crisis, with possible catastrophes outlined and contra measures.

Editor’s note: This is Ivan’s summary at the time he asked Antonis to provide comments. Ivan keeps updating his summary, however; the current version is at Ivan’s site.

The facts

In the last 2.000 years, humans have been radically changing the whole planet, including deforestation, overfishing and contamination of the air, soil and water.

Since 200 years—since the so-called industrial revolution—these changes have become dramatically fast, like putting an unprecedented amount of Carbon dioxide (CO2) in the atmosphere.

Many scientists think that carbon dioxide is one of the main causes of global warming, which is certainly happening:

The consequences of climate change are not only higher temperatures, but more droughts and heat waves, stronger hurricanes, sea level rise, and heavy precipitation events.

Climate change will produce massive food shortage, wars, and consequently massive displacements of people from the south hemisphere to the north to the point of disrupting civilisation.

Missing mitigating targets

The IPCC has stated that unmitigated climate change would, in the long term, be likely to exceed the capacity of natural, managed and human systems to adapt.

In the Paris Agreement, most countries agreed to implement measures to mitigate climate change within safe limits set by the IPCC . But most countries are missing their targets.

Who/what is responsible

The other main global warming sources together with carbon dioxide are ice melting, nitrous oxide and methane.

Mitigation measures

To mitigate climate change, people should cut its carbon footprint, e.g. when moving, building or eating.

To stop a disastrous climate change, each human have to consume no more than 2.3 tones of CO2 yearly. Consuming about 1t for food and housing, you have 1t left for transportation. With 1t, you can travel 80,000 km by train, but only 3,800 by airplane, and 4.900 by car. The current consumption of CO2 per capita in the European Union is 8t.

End of the World, denials and adaptation

Some scientists argue that it is too late to stop a climate change that will disrupt our current civilization within 10 years.

Almost all scientists, journalists, politicians and consumers denial the possible catastrophic impact of climate change due to psychological processes.

Only communities that start to prepare now for a post-civilization world will survive without great suffering including starvation. These preparations include to become self-sustaining in terms of food and resources, and to develop micro political and economical new structures. It also includes smart locations away from the coast because see level rise , hurricanes and tsunamis, or keeping 200km distance from nuclear power plants. , which may meltdown after societal disruptions.

Debate

Survival plan

I propose you contact me on this issue, and we elaborate, together with other soulmates, a plan to setup a self-sustaining, post-civilization community somewhere for us and our families to move in if things start to go bad. Depending on our summed-up economical power, from a house in some smart chosen location to a whole Island like the Isle of Man.